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              <text>This project explores the causes and lasting consequences of European immigration to Argentina. It begins by considering the historical context of European emigration, including economic hardship, political instability, war, and persecution, alongside the factors that made Argentina an attractive destination, such as its expanding economy, immigration-friendly policies, and abundance of fertile land. It then examines the diverse groups who settled in Argentina and assesses how they reshaped the country's language and culture. Finally, it reflects on the continuing legacy of this migration, considering both personal observations from my visit to Argentina and the ways in which immigration to the country has evolved in the present day.</text>
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              <text>Antimicrobials are a crucial component of modern healthcare and are used in managing a range of ailments from infections to surgical procedures. However, the rise of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) threatens these practices, and without effective monitoring and efforts to curb this proliferation we face the risk of a serious public health crisis. This report seeks to illuminate the current state of AMR and stewardship within the Coventry and Warwickshire area, with a particular focus on the three acute Trusts (University Hospital Coventry and Warwickshire (UHCW), South Warwickshire Foundation Trust (SWFT), and George Eliot Hospital (GEH)) associated with Warwick Medical School. Data was extracted from the 'Fingertips' public health database and a subset of indicators were examined to present an overview of the threat of AMR and compare outcomes against goals laid out in the governments 2019-2024 National Plan to tackle AMR. Our analysis suggests increasing rates of E.coli specimens resistant to key antimicrobials in the region compared to the national average for England. An exploration of key antibiotic prescribing practice targets indicated that Coventry and Warwickshire (CaW) Trusts were below national average performance, suggesting that a review of such prescribing practices may help address AMR trends in the region. The variance in these findings reflects the complexity of the challenge in fighting antimicrobial resistance and the persistent hurdles healthcare systems encounter in addressing threats of this magnitude, particularly in settings with limited resources and prioritisation of events like the COVID-19 pandemic. Further efforts, monitoring, and investment will be needed in the coming years to address the alarming rise of antimicrobial resistance in the face of current efforts to curb its proliferation.</text>
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              <text>This study expands upon the work of Barberis (2012) which discusses the application of Tversky and Kahneman’s updated model of prospect theory in 1992 (cumulative prosepect theory) to the area of repeated bets with win probabilities of close to 0.5, in contexts such as casinos or financial markets. In particular, we look to explore the idea of a ’time inconsistency’ that is abundant in many strategic situations evaluated using cumulative prospect theory. What this refers to is the phenomenon of an agent deciding what their optimal strategy is before entering the situation but then following a different plan of action at future time periods. We explore the impacts of moving away from simple bets by changing some of the underlying principles, such as the effects of generalising the win probability, p, or introducing a random shock to the reward at a random point in time. This allows us to connect Barberis’ work to areas beyond just a casino, such as prices of securities in financial markets. We will do this by exploring the effects on a two-period binomial model but which can be extended.</text>
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              <text>The Russia--Ukraine war disrupted global food commodity markets, raising concerns over food prices and food security across Africa. This study examines whether countries with greater pre-war dependence on cereal imports from Russia and Ukraine experienced larger increases in domestic food inflation following the outbreak of the conflict, and whether transmission varied with economic development.  Using a monthly panel of 25 African economies from January 2017 to September 2025, the study employs a Difference-in-Differences framework exploiting cross-country variation in pre-war import dependence. Country and month fixed effects account for unobserved heterogeneity and common global shocks, while exchange-rate movements are included as a control. Robustness is assessed using alternative treatment definitions, fixed-effects specifications, placebo tests and leave-one-country-out estimation.  The baseline results provide limited evidence that pre-war dependence on Russian and Ukrainian cereal imports systematically increased domestic food inflation following the outbreak of the war. However, substantial heterogeneity emerges across countries. Higher economic development is associated with significantly smaller increases in food inflation. Further analysis indicates that supplier concentration and domestic cereal production capacity help explain this resilience. Overall, the findings suggest that structural characteristics, rather than import dependence alone, shape countries' resilience to global food commodity shocks.</text>
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              <text>Economics, Food inflation, Food prices, Commodity price shocks, Russia-Ukraine war, Africa, Economic development, Food security, Cereal imports, Import dependence, Economic resilience, Difference-in-Differences, International economics</text>
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                <text>The Transmission of Global Food Commodity Shocks to Food Inflation in Africa: Evidence from the Russia–Ukraine War</text>
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                <text>Daniel Whitehouse, Prof Natalie Chen</text>
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